Tennis · Challenger Knoxville · 10/11, 19:00
Prediction: Daniel Milavsky vs Murphy Cassone
Team pages: Daniel Milavsky · Murphy Cassone
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniel Milavsky
Murphy Cassone
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Milavsky
8-2 (W-L)
Murphy Cassone
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Daniel Milavsky
0–3
Murphy Cassone
(3 last)
- 03 Jun0-2 5-12L
- 21 Jun1-2 14-17L
- 15 Apr1-2 13-15L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Milavsky 1549 · Murphy Cassone 1568
| Daniel Milavsky | Murphy Cassone | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Daniel Milavsky dominates on serve: 7.2 aces and 42.6% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Daniel Milavsky 0–3 Murphy Cassone (3).
Statistics
| Daniel Milavsky | Murphy Cassone | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-11.2 | 12.5-11.6 |
| Aces | 7.2 | 5.6 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 73.8% | 74.1% |
| Break % | 42.6% | 51.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
H2H · Daniel Milavsky 0 – 3 Murphy Cassone (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Daniel Milavsky 0–3 Murphy Cassone
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06/26 Challenger Tyler | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/06/23 M25 Tulsa | 1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 15/04/21 UTR Pro Tennis Series Atlanta | 1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Milavsky
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 09/11 | Luca Wiedenmann Challenger Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/11 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
1-2 | 17-20 | L |
| 03/11 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/11 | Shunsuke Mitsui Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 01/11 | Joshua Charlton Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/10 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 26/10 | Harry Wendelken Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 21/10 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Govind Nanda Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Murphy Cassone
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/11 | Nicolas Mejia Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 20/10 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Daniel Masur Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 24/09 | Billy Harris Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/09 | Clement Tabur Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 21/09 | Patrick Zahraj Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/09 | Hugo Car Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/09 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/07 | Arthur Gea Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Milavsky vs Murphy Cassone?
Our model gives 51% to Murphy Cassone, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.