Tennis · ATP Stockholm · 10/11, 13:00
Prediction: Alex Michelsen vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Team pages: Alex Michelsen · Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Prediction summary
Winner
Alex Michelsen
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Estimated games
23.3Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alex Michelsen
4-6 (W-L)
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alex Michelsen
0–1
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
(1 last)
- 25 May0-3 9-18L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alex Michelsen 1522 · Juan Manuel Cerundolo 1548
| Alex Michelsen | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 74% | 26% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Alex Michelsen 0–1 Juan Manuel Cerundolo (1).
Statistics
| Alex Michelsen | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-11.3 | 11.8-11.3 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 6.2 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 69.9% | 71.6% |
| Break % | 40.2% | 31% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +1.8
Over 21.5: 62% · 1.80
Under 21.5: 38% · 1.90
H2H · Alex Michelsen 0 – 1 Juan Manuel Cerundolo (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alex Michelsen 0–1 Juan Manuel Cerundolo
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/25 French Open | 0-3 | 9-18 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alex Michelsen
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Stockholm · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/11 | Carlos Alcaraz Garfia ATP Paris · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/11 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Paris · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 29/10 | Arthur Fils ATP Basel · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 27/10 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Basel · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 23/10 | Arthur Fils ATP Brussels · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/10 | David Goffin ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/10 | Andrea Guerrieri ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/10 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Carlos Alcaraz Garfia ATP Tokyo · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Elias Ymer ATP Stockholm · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/11 | Casper Ruud ATP Paris · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/11 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Paris · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 31/10 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Paris · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/10 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Basel · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 25/10 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Basel · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/10 | Zachary Svajda ATP Basel · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/10 | Mariano Navone ATP Brussels · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/10 | Carlos Alcaraz Garfia ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Nicolas Mejia ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alex Michelsen vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo?
Our model gives 62% to Alex Michelsen, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.