Tennis · Challenger Lima · 11/11, 01:00
Prediction: Gonzalo Bueno vs Carlos Sanchez Jover
Team pages: Gonzalo Bueno · Carlos Sanchez Jover
Prediction summary
Winner
Gonzalo Bueno
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Gonzalo Bueno
5-5 (W-L)
Carlos Sanchez Jover
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Gonzalo Bueno
1–1
Carlos Sanchez Jover
(2 last)
- 08 Sept2-1 12-14W
- 21 Jan1-2 12-15L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gonzalo Bueno 1514 · Carlos Sanchez Jover 1472
| Gonzalo Bueno | Carlos Sanchez Jover | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gonzalo Bueno (rating 1514 vs 1472).
Statistics
| Gonzalo Bueno | Carlos Sanchez Jover | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-12 | 11-12.1 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 62.8% | 61% |
| Break % | 46% | 37.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
H2H · Gonzalo Bueno 1 – 1 Carlos Sanchez Jover (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gonzalo Bueno 1–1 Carlos Sanchez Jover
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09/26 Challenger Seville | 2-1 | 12-14 | W |
| 21/01/24 Challenger Punta del Este | 1-2 | 12-15 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gonzalo Bueno
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/11 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/11 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 29/10 | Carlos Maria Zarate Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 27/10 | Alex Barrena Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/10 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Challenger Cali · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 19/10 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 13/10 | Maximo Zeitune Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 12-14 | W |
| 02/09 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Carlos Sanchez Jover
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Santiago De La Fuente Challenger Lima · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 08/11 | Franco Davila Blotte Challenger Lima · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/10 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Florence · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 13/10 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Catania · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/10 | Yanaki Milev Challenger Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/10 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 06/10 | Francesco Forti Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 23/09 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Michael Geerts Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/09 | Filip Pieczonka Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gonzalo Bueno vs Carlos Sanchez Jover?
Our model gives 61% to Gonzalo Bueno, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.