Tennis · M15 Roldan · 11/11, 14:00

Prediction: Mateo Del Pino vs Valentin Basel

Team pages: Mateo Del Pino · Valentin Basel

Prediction summary
Winner
46% 54%
Mateo Del Pino Valentin Basel
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Mateo Del Pino 4-6 (W-L)
LLLLLWLWWW
Valentin Basel 3-7 (W-L)
LLLLWLWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mateo Del Pino 1465 · Valentin Basel 1465
Mateo Del PinoValentin Basel
Our model50%50%
Market42%58%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Mateo Del Pino makes many double faults (5.7/match).

Statistics

Mateo Del PinoValentin Basel
Win %30%40%
Win % · Clay 33% (9) 20% (5)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.50.9-1.3
Games (G-P)8.9-12.410.3-10.5
Aces0.61.6
Double faults5.72.1
1st serve %55.8%67.2%
Break %53.4%51.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mateo Del Pino

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/11 Juan Manuel La Serna
Challenger Villa Maria · Clay
1-2 11-17 L
02/11 Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
Challenger Villa Maria · Clay
2-0 13-6 W
01/11 Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova
Challenger Villa Maria · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
28/10 Daniel Elahi Galan
Challenger Guayaquil · Clay
1-2 8-17 L
27/10 Lucio Ratti
Challenger Guayaquil · Clay
2-1 16-16 W
18/10 Juan Sebastian Gomez
Challenger Cali · Clay
0-2 8-12 L
13/10 Juan Sebastian Osorio
M15 Quito · ~Clay
0-2 6-13 L
07/10 Manuel Mouilleron Salvo
M15 Quito · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
21/09 Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
01/09 Valentino Grippo
M15 Trelew
0-2 9-13 L

Valentin Basel

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/11 Tomas Farjat
Challenger Villa Maria · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
21/10 Pedro Sakamoto
M15 Maceio
0-2 8-13 L
19/10 Santiago Pesino
M15 Maceio
2-0 12-4 W
18/10 Mateus Napoli da Silveira
M15 Maceio
2-0 12-5 W
15/10 Oscar Jose Gutierrez
M15 Maringa · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
13/10 Enzo Lima
M15 Maringa · ~Clay
2-0 13-5 W
30/08 Nikita Mashtakov
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
1-2 14-19 L
27/08 Gerard Campana Lee
M25 Poznan
0-2 7-12 L
26/08 Alex Finkelstein
M25 Poznan
2-1 17-11 W
03/08 Pietro Marino
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
0-2 8-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mateo Del Pino vs Valentin Basel?

Our model gives 54% to Valentin Basel, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.