Tennis · Challenger Monastir · 10/11, 11:00
Prediction: Jay Clarke vs Maxime Janvier
Team pages: Jay Clarke · Maxime Janvier
Prediction summary
Winner
Jay Clarke
Maxime Janvier
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Jay Clarke
5-5 (W-L)
Maxime Janvier
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jay Clarke 1514 · Maxime Janvier 1613
| Jay Clarke | Maxime Janvier | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maxime Janvier (rating 1514 vs 1613).
- Maxime Janvier is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Jay Clarke | Maxime Janvier | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.8-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-9.9 | 13.4-9.3 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 6.7 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 62.3% | 74% |
| Break % | 37% | 37.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jay Clarke
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Felix Gill Challenger Taranto · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 05/11 | Gianluca Cadenasso Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/11 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/10 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Florence · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 06/10 | Gabriele Piraino Challenger Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Bari · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Fabrizio Andaloro Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/09 | Giuseppe La Vela Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/09 | John Sperle Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/09 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Biella · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Maxime Janvier
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Semen Pankin Challenger Monastir · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 08/11 | Jeevan Nedunchezhiyan Challenger Monastir · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/11 | Fitriadi M Rifqi M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 31/10 | Adhithya Ganesan M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/10 | Seonyong Han M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/10 | Shaheed Alam M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/10 | Noah Karma M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/10 | Ergi Kirkin M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/10 | Kousuke Ogura M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 23/10 | Pranav Karthik M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jay Clarke vs Maxime Janvier?
Our model gives 51% to Jay Clarke, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.