Tennis · M15 Las Palmas · 10/11, 12:30
Prediction: Pablo Aunion vs Karim Al-Amin
Team pages: Pablo Aunion · Karim Al-Amin
Prediction summary
Winner
Pablo Aunion
Karim Al-Amin
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Pablo Aunion
3-7 (W-L)
Karim Al-Amin
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pablo Aunion 1480 · Karim Al-Amin 1547
| Pablo Aunion | Karim Al-Amin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Karim Al-Amin (rating 1480 vs 1547).
- Karim Al-Amin is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Pablo Aunion | Karim Al-Amin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.1-10.9 | 11.8-9.3 |
| Aces | 4.6 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 60.6% | 57% |
| Break % | 28.1% | 41.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pablo Aunion
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Felix Roussel M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Enrique Carrascosa Diaz M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/10 | Tuncay Duran M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Nicolas Robert M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/09 | Anas Mazdrashki M25 Gijon |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Theodore Dean M25 Gijon |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 02/09 | Juan Ignacio Gallego M15 Madrid |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 25/08 | Yaroslav Demin M25 Oviedo |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Noah Regas M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 18/08 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Santander |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Karim Al-Amin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Facundo Yunis M15 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Noah Lopez M15 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/09 | Niels Lootsma UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 26/09 | Igor Mandou Berranger UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/09 | Henry Dornbusch UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/09 | Aiden Spoolder UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/09 | James Pikkaart UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/09 | Jeremy Condere UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/09 | Vaclav Schneider UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/09 | Felix Romeo UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pablo Aunion vs Karim Al-Amin?
Our model gives 54% to Karim Al-Amin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.