Tennis · M15 Las Palmas · 10/11, 11:00
Prediction: Javier Molino vs Mustapha El Natour
Team pages: Mustapha El Natour
Prediction summary
Winner
Javier Molino
Mustapha El Natour
Estimated games
19.3
Recent form · 10 last
Javier Molino
3-7 (W-L)
Mustapha El Natour
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Javier Molino 1460 · Mustapha El Natour 1455
| Javier Molino | Mustapha El Natour | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Mustapha El Natour makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Javier Molino | Mustapha El Natour | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 0.7-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.6-10.6 | 7.5-10.4 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 5.8 |
| 1st serve % | 58.7% | 64.8% |
| Break % | 36.5% | 48.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Javier Molino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Miguel Angel Machado M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Matic Dimic M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 7-10 | L |
| 18/02 | Dali Blanch M15 Villena · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 17/02 | Leonid Sheyngezikht M15 Villena · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/02 | Federico Valle M15 Almoradi · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 06/02 | Manuel Mazza M15 Javea |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/02 | Enrique Carrascosa Diaz M15 Javea |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 04/02 | Sergi Fita Juan M15 Javea |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 03/02 | Federico Valle M15 Javea |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/12 | Jeremy Gschwendtner M15 Ceuta · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Mustapha El Natour
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Gabriele Maria Piano M15 Selva Gardena |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/10 | Matteo Trombini M15 Selva Gardena |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
| 06/10 | Nicola Senn M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 6-9 | L |
| 29/09 | Matteo Fondriest M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Makar Elesin M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Filippo Francesco Garbero M15 Targu Jiu |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Pablo Aunion M25 Gandia |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Pablo Martinez Gomez M25 Martos · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Esteban Talavera Cortes M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/06 | Martins Rocens M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Javier Molino vs Mustapha El Natour?
Our model gives 64% to Javier Molino, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.