Tennis · Challenger Orleans · 10/11, 15:30
Prediction: Zsombor Piros vs Luca Nardi
Team pages: Zsombor Piros · Luca Nardi
Prediction summary
Winner
Zsombor Piros
Luca Nardi
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Zsombor Piros
9-1 (W-L)
Luca Nardi
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Zsombor Piros
1–0
Luca Nardi
(1 last)
- 18 Sept2-1 17-13W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zsombor Piros 1523 · Luca Nardi 1549
| Zsombor Piros | Luca Nardi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Zsombor Piros 1–0 Luca Nardi (1).
Statistics
| Zsombor Piros | Luca Nardi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-11 | 10.7-9.6 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 64.3% | 68.1% |
| Break % | 41.4% | 64.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
H2H · Zsombor Piros 1 – 0 Luca Nardi (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Zsombor Piros 1–0 Luca Nardi
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09/22 ATP Metz | 2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zsombor Piros
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Dalibor Svrcina Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 04/11 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 02/11 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/10 | Laslo Djere Challenger Brest · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Maia · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 17/10 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/10 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 14/10 | Pol Martin Tiffon Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/10 | Elmer Moller Challenger Braga · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
Luca Nardi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Alexander Ritschard Challenger Orleans · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/11 | Alexander Donski Challenger Orleans · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/10 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Michael Mmoh Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/10 | Lorenzo Carboni Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | August Holmgren Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 05/10 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/07 | Andrea Guerrieri ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Otto Virtanen Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Rio Noguchi Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zsombor Piros vs Luca Nardi?
Our model gives 52% to Luca Nardi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.