Tennis · Challenger Orleans · 10/11, 20:30
Prediction: Hugo Grenier vs Kyrian Jacquet
Team pages: Hugo Grenier · Kyrian Jacquet
Prediction summary
Winner
Hugo Grenier
Kyrian Jacquet
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Hugo Grenier
5-5 (W-L)
Kyrian Jacquet
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Hugo Grenier
0–1
Kyrian Jacquet
(1 last)
- 10 Aug0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hugo Grenier 1538 · Kyrian Jacquet 1513
| Hugo Grenier | Kyrian Jacquet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Hugo Grenier dominates on serve: 6.6 aces and 52.4% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Hugo Grenier 0–1 Kyrian Jacquet (1).
- Note: Hugo Grenier makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Hugo Grenier | Kyrian Jacquet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-12.1 | 11-10.8 |
| Aces | 6.6 | 8.1 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 70.2% | 78.2% |
| Break % | 52.4% | 32.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
H2H · Hugo Grenier 0 – 1 Kyrian Jacquet (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hugo Grenier 0–1 Kyrian Jacquet
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08/24 Challenger Cary | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hugo Grenier
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Martin Krumich Challenger Orleans · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 08/11 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Orleans · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 05/11 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Taranto · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/11 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/10 | Moise Kouame Challenger Brest · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/10 | Paul Jubb M25 Redbridge |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 21/10 | Marcus Walters M25 Redbridge |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 20/10 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M25 Redbridge |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/10 | Benjamin Bonzi Challenger Roanne · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 05/10 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Kyrian Jacquet
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Tomas Machac ATP Paris · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/10 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Lyon · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Matteo Berrettini ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 18/10 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/10 | Rei Sakamoto ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 05/10 | Tianhui Zhang ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/10 | Jaume Munar ATP Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Luciano Darderi ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/10 | Holger Rune ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/09 | Andrey Rublev ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hugo Grenier vs Kyrian Jacquet?
Our model gives 63% to Kyrian Jacquet, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.