Tennis · Challenger Monastir · 10/11, 17:30
Prediction: Gabriel Debru vs Mae Malige
Team pages: Gabriel Debru · Mae Malige
Prediction summary
Winner
Gabriel Debru
Mae Malige
Estimated games
23.4
Recent form · 10 last
Gabriel Debru
4-6 (W-L)
Mae Malige
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Gabriel Debru
1–0
Mae Malige
(1 last)
- 11 Jul2-0 12-3W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gabriel Debru 1585 · Mae Malige 1554
| Gabriel Debru | Mae Malige | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Gabriel Debru 1–0 Mae Malige (1).
- Note: Gabriel Debru makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Gabriel Debru | Mae Malige | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 89% (9) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-1 | 1.5-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.6-11.3 | 13.1-11.9 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 4 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 71.1% | 70% |
| Break % | 48% | 44.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4
H2H · Gabriel Debru 1 – 0 Mae Malige (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gabriel Debru 1–0 Mae Malige
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/23 M25 Uriage | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gabriel Debru
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Jenson Brooksby Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 23/10 | Erik Arutiunian Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/10 | Alex Rybakov Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 20/10 | Braden Shick Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 13/10 | Micah Braswell M25 Austin |
1-2 | 9-9 | L |
| 02/08 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 01/08 | Paul Inchauspe Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/07 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 29/07 | Florent Bax Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 27/07 | Gabi Adrian Boitan Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Mae Malige
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Nino Ehrenschneider Challenger Monastir · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 08/11 | Giulio Perego Challenger Monastir · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/11 | Alejandro Moro Canas M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 04/11 | Fnu Nidunjianzan M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/10 | Roan Jones M25 Sheffield |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 27/10 | Henry Searle M25 Sheffield |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 22/10 | Adrien Gobat M25 Sarreguemines |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 20/10 | Guillaume Dalmasso M25 Sarreguemines |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 08/10 | Loann Massard M15 Rodez |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M15 Rodez |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gabriel Debru vs Mae Malige?
Our model gives 67% to Gabriel Debru, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.

