Tennis · W15 Sao Carlos · 11/11, 14:00
Prediction: Jennifer Rosa Dourado vs Lan Mi
Team pages: Jennifer Rosa Dourado · Lan Mi
Prediction summary
Winner
Jennifer Rosa Dourado
Lan Mi
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Jennifer Rosa Dourado
4-6 (W-L)
Lan Mi
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jennifer Rosa Dourado 1466 · Lan Mi 1534
| Jennifer Rosa Dourado | Lan Mi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 11% | 89% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lan Mi (rating 1466 vs 1534).
Statistics
| Jennifer Rosa Dourado | Lan Mi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-10.9 | 9.9-10.1 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 0 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 0.8 |
| 1st serve % | 58.5% | 49.9% |
| Break % | 41.6% | 57.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jennifer Rosa Dourado
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Luna Maria Cinalli WTA Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Camila Romero W15 Campina Grande |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Luna Maria Cinalli W15 Maceio |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Josefina Estevez W15 Belem |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 24/09 | Giulia Gomes Ferreira W15 Belem |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 23/09 | Maria Jose Rico Sanchez W15 Belem |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 18/09 | Josefina Estevez W15 Sao Luis |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Mariana Soares W15 Sao Luis |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/09 | Maria Jose Rico Sanchez W15 Sao Luis |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/09 | Ana Cruz W15 Porto Velho |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Lan Mi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Adriana Reami WTA Queretaro · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/10 | Jenna Defalco W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 23/10 | Yara Bartashevich W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/10 | Berta Passola W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-9 | W |
| 15/10 | Maria Sholokhova W35 Redding |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Delaney Letzel W35 Redding |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/10 | Valentina Losciale W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Jessica Hinojosa Gomez W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 01/10 | Ophelie Boullay W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 30/09 | Barakat Oyinlomo Quadre W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jennifer Rosa Dourado vs Lan Mi?
Our model gives 76% to Lan Mi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.