Tennis · W15 Sao Carlos · 11/11, 14:00
Prediction: Melissa Boyden vs Sofia Meabe
Team pages: Melissa Boyden · Sofia Meabe
Prediction summary
Winner
Melissa Boyden
Sofia Meabe
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Melissa Boyden
2-8 (W-L)
Sofia Meabe
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Melissa Boyden 1428 · Sofia Meabe 1524
| Melissa Boyden | Sofia Meabe | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sofia Meabe (rating 1428 vs 1524).
- Sofia Meabe is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Melissa Boyden makes many double faults (5.2/match).
- Note: Sofia Meabe makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Melissa Boyden | Sofia Meabe | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 20% (5) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.7 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.6-11.9 | 11.3-7.6 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 5.2 | 5.4 |
| 1st serve % | 44% | 61.9% |
| Break % | 47.6% | 51.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Melissa Boyden
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Fernanda Labrana W15 Neuquen |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 29/10 | Josefina Estevez W15 Neuquen |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Carola Celina Sosa W15 Neuquen |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 14/10 | Zuzanna Kolonus W15 Chisinau |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Maria Mikhailova W15 Chisinau |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Alisa Baranovska UTR Pro Budapest Women · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Victoria Borodulina UTR Pro Budapest Women · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Silvia Njiric UTR Pro Budapest Women · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Ingrid Vojcinakova UTR Pro Budapest Women · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Lucia Cassidy UTR Pro Budapest Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Sofia Meabe
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Victoria Bosio W15 Neuquen |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/11 | Caira Delfina Vega Gudino W15 Neuquen |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/10 | Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi W15 Neuquen |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/10 | Ana Julieta Lopez Ocampos W15 Neuquen |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 27/10 | Florencia Belen Moron W15 Neuquen |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/10 | Ana Sofia Sanchez W15 Cipolletti |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Camila Markus W15 Cipolletti |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 08/10 | Carola Celina Sosa W15 Cipolletti |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/10 | Luciana Moyano W15 Trelew |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 29/09 | Agustina Tarantola W15 Trelew |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Melissa Boyden vs Sofia Meabe?
Our model gives 77% to Sofia Meabe, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.