Tennis · W15 Sao Carlos · 11/11, 14:00
Prediction: Catarina M I Melleiro Junior vs Sabrina Dias
Team pages: Catarina M I Melleiro Junior
Prediction summary
Winner
Catarina M I Melleiro Junior
Sabrina Dias
Estimated games
18.7
Recent form · 10 last
Catarina M I Melleiro Junior
3-7 (W-L)
Sabrina Dias
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Catarina M I Melleiro Junior 1436 · Sabrina Dias 1539
| Catarina M I Melleiro Junior | Sabrina Dias | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sabrina Dias (rating 1436 vs 1539).
- Sabrina Dias is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Catarina M I Melleiro Junior | Sabrina Dias | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.4 | 1.1-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.5-10.2 | 9-8 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 56.3% | 69.9% |
| Break % | 43.9% | 54.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
18.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Catarina M I Melleiro Junior
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Berta Bonardi WTA Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Maria Florencia Urrutia W15 Campina Grande |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Sofia Omati Albieri W15 Campina Grande |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/10 | Karolina Krajmer W15 Maceio |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Julia Konishi Camargo Silva W15 Belem |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Julia Konishi Camargo Silva W15 Sao Luis |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Isabela De Mattos Silva W15 Sao Luis |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/09 | Beatriz Dias W15 Sao Luis |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Maria Jose Sanchez Uribe W15 Porto Velho |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Alisa Danilova W35 Barueri |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Sabrina Dias
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Marjorie Souza W15 Campina Grande |
1-1 | 8-6 | W |
| 20/10 | Maria F Lopes W15 Campina Grande |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/10 | Maria Florencia Urrutia W15 Maceio |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Luiza Sana W15 Maceio |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/10 | Gabriela G Soares W15 Maceio |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/09 | Paola Lopez W15 Belem |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Beatriz Nahmias Melo Rodrigues W15 Belem |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/09 | Josefina Estevez W15 Sao Luis |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Maria Moraes W15 Sao Luis |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 03/09 | Ana Candiotto W15 Porto Velho |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Catarina M I Melleiro Junior vs Sabrina Dias?
Our model gives 75% to Sabrina Dias, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.