Tennis · UTR Pro Oxford Women · 11/11, 19:30
Prediction: Riley Crowder vs Nikoline Gullacksen
Team pages: Riley Crowder · Nikoline Gullacksen
Prediction summary
Winner
Riley Crowder
Nikoline Gullacksen
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Riley Crowder
6-4 (W-L)
Nikoline Gullacksen
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Riley Crowder 1532 · Nikoline Gullacksen 1441
| Riley Crowder | Nikoline Gullacksen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Riley Crowder (rating 1532 vs 1441).
- Riley Crowder is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Riley Crowder makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Riley Crowder | Nikoline Gullacksen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-9 | 10.2-11.4 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 63.8% | 56.9% |
| Break % | 62.9% | 41.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Riley Crowder
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Emma Ansorge UTR Pro Oxford Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 09/11 | Lena Thomas Iglesias UTR Pro Oxford Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/09 | Skylar Kasday UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/09 | Francesca Mattioli UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Emmie Moore UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Saray Yli-Piipari UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Joanna Kennedy UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Audrey Aulia UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Brooke Lynn Schafer UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/08 | Sydney Jara UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Nikoline Gullacksen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Lena Thomas Iglesias UTR Pro Oxford Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Martha Thompson UTR Pro Ithaca Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/10 | Laurie Barendse UTR Pro Ithaca Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/10 | Emma Scaldalai UTR Pro Ithaca Women · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 01/10 | Tanika Saravanan UTR Pro Ithaca Women · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Victoria Zhao UTR Pro Ithaca Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Esther Lovato UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 04/09 | Lyric Bonilla UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/09 | Na Dong UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 02/09 | Marta Mariia Makarova UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Riley Crowder vs Nikoline Gullacksen?
Our model gives 77% to Riley Crowder, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.