Tennis · W15 Antalya · 10/11, 09:00
Prediction: Mariia Drobysheva vs Federica Bilardo
Team pages: Mariia Drobysheva · Federica Bilardo
Prediction summary
Winner
Mariia Drobysheva
Federica Bilardo
Estimated games
19.3
Recent form · 10 last
Mariia Drobysheva
6-4 (W-L)
Federica Bilardo
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mariia Drobysheva 1507 · Federica Bilardo 1437
| Mariia Drobysheva | Federica Bilardo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mariia Drobysheva (rating 1507 vs 1437).
Statistics
| Mariia Drobysheva | Federica Bilardo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 0.6-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-9.3 | 7.8-10.3 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 54.3% | 52.7% |
| Break % | 53.5% | 45.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mariia Drobysheva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Estella Jaeger W15 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/10 | Theresa Stabauer W15 Bol · ~Clay |
1-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Sveva Sveva Fumagalli W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
1-2 | 7-10 | L |
| 20/08 | Adrienn Nagy W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 19/08 | Ilinca Sagmar W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/08 | Lavinia Luciano W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-8 | W |
| 30/07 | Lavinia Luciano W15 Rogaska Slatina |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Arabella Koller W15 Rogaska Slatina |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/07 | Melinda Biro W15 Rogaska Slatina |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/07 | Camilla Gennaro W75 Cordenons |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Federica Bilardo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Chiara Fornasieri W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-9 | L |
| 06/10 | Francesca Gandolfi W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Martina Colmegna W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Agnese Gentili W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/09 | Celeste Faustini W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Carlotta Bassotti Others |
2-0 | 10-5 | W |
| 01/09 | Eleonora Alvisi W15 Fiano Romano |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Julie Pastikova W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Iga Piotrowska W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Gabriela Ce W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mariia Drobysheva vs Federica Bilardo?
Our model gives 63% to Mariia Drobysheva, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.