Tennis · W15 Antalya · 10/11, 09:00
Prediction: Denise Valente vs Mariya Yemshanova
Team pages: Denise Valente · Mariya Yemshanova
Prediction summary
Winner
Denise Valente
Mariya Yemshanova
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Denise Valente
4-6 (W-L)
Mariya Yemshanova
0-10 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Denise Valente 1500 · Mariya Yemshanova 1383
| Denise Valente | Mariya Yemshanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Denise Valente (rating 1500 vs 1383).
- Denise Valente is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Denise Valente makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Denise Valente | Mariya Yemshanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 0.2-1.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-11.1 | 5.5-11.5 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 0 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 63.5% | 44.5% |
| Break % | 65.4% | 35% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Denise Valente
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Marianne Argyrokastriti W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-11 | L |
| 25/09 | Marie Mettraux W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Anna Petkovic W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Franziska Sziedat W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 22/09 | Eleonora Alvisi W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 15/09 | Alessandra Fiorillo W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Linda Sevcikova W15 Fiano Romano |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Yuno Kitahara W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Amelie Brooks W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Leticia Romanova W35 Aldershot |
2-1 | 9-11 | W |
Mariya Yemshanova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Ksenia Laskutova W15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Daria Gorska W15 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Zala Bizjak W15 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/10 | Emilija Miljkovic UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/10 | Mina Markovic (2009) UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
2-1 | 16-7 | W |
| 08/10 | Kristina Kovgan UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Milica Stosovic UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Laura Svatikova UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Denise Hrdinkova UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Zhibek Kulambayeva W75 Kursumlijska Banja Qual · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Denise Valente vs Mariya Yemshanova?
Our model gives 79% to Denise Valente, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.