Tennis · W15 Paris · 10/11, 10:00

Prediction: Katarina Kujovic vs Marie Vogt

Team pages: Katarina Kujovic · Marie Vogt

Prediction summary
Winner
21% 79%
Katarina Kujovic Marie Vogt
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Katarina Kujovic 5-5 (W-L)
WWWLWLWLLL
Marie Vogt 7-3 (W-L)
LWWWLWWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Katarina Kujovic 1457 · Marie Vogt 1609
Katarina KujovicMarie Vogt
Our model29%71%
Market14%86%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marie Vogt (rating 1457 vs 1609).
  • Marie Vogt is in better form: 80% recent wins.
  • Note: Katarina Kujovic makes many double faults (4/match).

Statistics

Katarina KujovicMarie Vogt
Win %40%80%
Win % · Hard 0% (1) 89% (9)
Sets (G-P)1-1.31.6-0.7
Games (G-P)9.2-10.711.9-8.3
Aces1.22.8
Double faults41.8
1st serve %55.9%64.9%
Break %49.6%49.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Katarina Kujovic

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/11 Stephanie Judith Visscher
W75 Petange
0-2 5-12 L
28/10 Ella Haavisto
W15 Taby
0-2 5-12 L
06/10 Carlotta Moccia
W35 Lagos
0-2 4-12 L
05/10 Sana Garakani
W35 Lagos
2-1 12-9 W
29/09 Salma Djoubri
W35 Reims
0-2 6-12 L
28/09 Lea Fojcik
W35 Reims
2-0 13-6 W
22/09 Florentine Dekkers
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 12-12 L
13/09 Marine Szostak
W75 Le Neubourg
1-2 10-17 L
27/08 Carol Plakk
W15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
26/08 Alyssa Reguer
W15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W

Marie Vogt

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/11 Kayo Nishimura
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 16-9 W
31/10 Mariia Lazarenko
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 16-13 W
30/10 Sofia Camila Rojas
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W
29/10 Nahjime Dho
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
28/10 Yui Watanabe
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
24/10 Kayo Nishimura
W35 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 8-12 L
23/10 Sofia Camila Rojas
W35 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
22/10 Baotong Xu
W35 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
20/10 Polina Berezina
W35 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 17-11 W
11/10 Daria Yesypchuk
WTA Mallorca · Clay
0-2 2-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Katarina Kujovic vs Marie Vogt?

Our model gives 79% to Marie Vogt, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.