Tennis · W15 Paris · 11/11, 10:00

Prediction: Sarah Iliev vs Emma Slavikova

Team pages: Sarah Iliev · Emma Slavikova

Prediction summary
Winner
70% 30%
Sarah Iliev Emma Slavikova
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Sarah Iliev 4-6 (W-L)
LLWWLWWLLL
Emma Slavikova 3-7 (W-L)
LWLLWLLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sarah Iliev 1543 · Emma Slavikova 1479
Sarah IlievEmma Slavikova
Our model59%41%
Market79%21%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sarah Iliev (rating 1543 vs 1479).
  • Sarah Iliev is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Note: Emma Slavikova makes many double faults (7.6/match).

Statistics

Sarah IlievEmma Slavikova
Win %70%40%
Win % · Hard 50% (2) 33% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.4-1.10.9-1.4
Games (G-P)12.3-10.78.5-10.8
Aces1.32.9
Double faults3.97.6
1st serve %64.8%64.6%
Break %53%38.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sarah Iliev

WWLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/10 Lola Radivojevic
W75 Poitiers · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
26/10 Hanna Bougouffa
W75 Poitiers · ~Hard
2-1 19-14 W
21/10 Oceane Dodin
W50 Cherbourg
0-2 3-12 L
19/10 Maia Ilinca Burcescu
W50 Cherbourg
2-1 17-11 W
18/10 Severine Deppner
W50 Cherbourg
2-0 13-5 W
09/10 Emma Lene
W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq
0-2 11-14 L
08/10 Anna Burchak
W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq
2-1 14-10 W
06/10 Hanna Bougouffa
W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq
2-0 12-8 W
12/09 Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard
W15 Dijon
2-1 14-11 W
11/09 Marta Soriano Santiago
W15 Dijon
2-1 14-10 W

Emma Slavikova

LWWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/11 Daria Gorska
W35 Liberec
1-2 9-10 L
29/10 Emma Sophie Glaser
W15 Essen
0-2 7-12 L
28/10 Sophia Biolay
W15 Essen
2-1 16-15 W
26/10 Angelina Wirges
W15 Essen
2-1 18-16 W
21/10 Ella Haavisto
W15 Karlovy Vary
0-2 5-12 L
19/10 Laetitia Pulchartova
W15 Karlovy Vary
2-0 7-3 W
06/10 Mirjana Jovanovic
W15 Chisinau
0-2 2-12 L
28/09 Ivana Sebestova
W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
27/09 Ashleigh Harvey
W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
22/08 Estella Jaeger
UTR Pro Match Series Women · Hard
0-2 3-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sarah Iliev vs Emma Slavikova?

Our model gives 70% to Sarah Iliev, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.