Prediction: Carmen Lopez Martinez vs Alina Nesmianovych
Team pages: Carmen Lopez Martinez · Alina Nesmianovych
Prediction summary
Winner
Carmen Lopez Martinez
Alina Nesmianovych
Estimated games
19.4
Recent form · 10 last
Carmen Lopez Martinez
4-6 (W-L)
Alina Nesmianovych
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carmen Lopez Martinez 1477 · Alina Nesmianovych 1527
| Carmen Lopez Martinez | Alina Nesmianovych | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alina Nesmianovych (rating 1477 vs 1527).
- Note: Alina Nesmianovych makes many double faults (9.3/match).
Statistics
| Carmen Lopez Martinez | Alina Nesmianovych | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.2 | 1.4-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.8-9 | 10.3-10.4 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 3 | 9.3 |
| 1st serve % | 61.8% | 63.1% |
| Break % | 55.7% | 43.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carmen Lopez Martinez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Federica Urgesi W35 Loule · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Miroslava Medvedeva W35 Loule · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/10 | Sofia Iakukhina W35 Loule · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/10 | Celia Cervino Ruiz W35 Lagos |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Charo Esquiva Banuls W35 Baza |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Gabriela M Vancea W35 Baza |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/09 | Indianna Spink W50 Yecla |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Sachia Vickery W75 Le Neubourg |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Luisa Hrda W75 Le Neubourg |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/06 | Amandine Hesse W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Alina Nesmianovych
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Capucine Dournes W15 Paris |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/11 | Kim Chiarello W15 Paris |
2-1 | 9-10 | W |
| 26/10 | Lara Wasserfuhr W15 Essen |
0-2 | 5-10 | L |
| 12/10 | Eva Iurina W15 Chisinau |
1-2 | 10-8 | L |
| 07/10 | Sonia Erika Butuc Cerchez W15 Chisinau |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 05/10 | Luisa Schruff W15 Chisinau |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 01/10 | Sada Nahimana W35 Reims |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Gina Marie Dittmann W35 Reims |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 29/09 | Fanny Pire W35 Reims |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/09 | Valentina Khrebtova W35 Reims |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carmen Lopez Martinez vs Alina Nesmianovych?
Our model gives 62% to Carmen Lopez Martinez, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.