Tennis · W15 Nules · 10/11, 12:30

Prediction: Defne Cirpanli vs Carlotta Moccia

Team pages: Defne Cirpanli · Carlotta Moccia

Prediction summary
Winner
25% 75%
Defne Cirpanli Carlotta Moccia
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Defne Cirpanli 3-7 (W-L)
LLLLLLWWWL
Carlotta Moccia 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWLWWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Defne Cirpanli 1392 · Carlotta Moccia 1533
Defne CirpanliCarlotta Moccia
Our model31%69%
Market21%79%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carlotta Moccia (rating 1392 vs 1533).
  • Carlotta Moccia is in better form: 60% recent wins.

Statistics

Defne CirpanliCarlotta Moccia
Win %10%60%
Win % · Hard 0% (2) 50% (2)
Sets (G-P)0.5-1.91.5-0.9
Games (G-P)9-13.111.7-10
Aces1.11.3
Double faults2.83.9
1st serve %55.9%60.8%
Break %53.9%50.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Defne Cirpanli

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/11 Adelina Lachinova
W15 Antalya · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
20/10 Alba Maria Coromina Boluda
W15 Villena · ~Hard
1-2 12-16 L
15/10 Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas
W15 Chisinau
1-2 10-16 L
14/10 Aliesia Reva
W15 Chisinau
2-1 15-9 W
06/10 Anastasia Safta
W15 Chisinau
1-2 12-17 L
20/09 Ashley Lahey
W50 Yecla
0-2 7-12 L
13/09 Mayuka Aikawa
W50 Pazardzhik
0-2 7-12 L
07/09 Min Liu
W35 Reus · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
01/09 Ana Giraldi Requena
W15 Badalona · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
22/07 Wozuko Mdlulwa
W15 Gran Canaria
0-2 5-12 L

Carlotta Moccia

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/10 Weronika Falkowska
W35 Loule · ~Hard
1-2 15-19 L
20/10 Sarafina Olivia Hansen
W35 Loule · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
08/10 Britt Du Pree
W35 Lagos
1-2 11-18 L
06/10 Katarina Kujovic
W35 Lagos
2-0 12-4 W
05/10 Beatriz Castro
W35 Lagos
2-0 12-3 W
30/09 Radka Zelnickova
W35 Baza
1-2 12-16 L
28/09 Carolina Gomez
W35 Baza
2-1 9-7 W
27/09 Georgina Garcia-Perez
W35 Baza
2-0 12-8 W
02/09 Daniela Vismane
W15 Fiano Romano
0-2 9-13 L
31/08 Nicole Andrea Molaro
W15 Fiano Romano
2-0 13-9 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Defne Cirpanli vs Carlotta Moccia?

Our model gives 75% to Carlotta Moccia, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.