Prediction: Katerina Tsygourova vs Lucia Natal
Team pages: Katerina Tsygourova · Lucia Natal
Prediction summary
Winner
Katerina Tsygourova
Lucia Natal
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Katerina Tsygourova
6-4 (W-L)
Lucia Natal
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Katerina Tsygourova 1497 · Lucia Natal 1482
| Katerina Tsygourova | Lucia Natal | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Lucia Natal makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Katerina Tsygourova | Lucia Natal | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-10.9 | 11.1-10.8 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 5.8 |
| 1st serve % | 57% | 57.2% |
| Break % | 55.2% | 60.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Katerina Tsygourova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/10 | Ane Mintegi Del Olmo W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Nellie Taraba Wallberg W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 11/10 | Sara Cakarevic WTA Lisbon · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 08/10 | Aurora Zantedeschi W35 Seville |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Gabriela Ce W35 Seville |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 06/10 | Amandine Hesse W35 Seville |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/09 | Veronika Erjavec WTA Tolentino · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 21/09 | Aneta Laboutkova WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/09 | Tayisiya Morderger WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Lucia Natal
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Sara Mikaca W15 Bol · ~Clay |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 15/10 | Eliska Tichackova W15 Bol · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 14/10 | Theresa Stabauer W15 Bol · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/09 | Ashley Lahey W15 Badalona · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Carmen Gallardo Guevara W15 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Anais Gabriel W15 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 21/07 | Carlota Vila Salles W15 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 17/07 | Nina Radovanovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Charlotte Pikkaart W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 14/07 | Ariana Geerlings W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Katerina Tsygourova vs Lucia Natal?
Our model gives 71% to Katerina Tsygourova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.