Tennis · M25 San Gregorio · 11/11, 09:30
Prediction: Michele Mecarelli vs Andrej Martin
Team pages: Michele Mecarelli · Andrej Martin
Prediction summary
Winner
Michele Mecarelli
Andrej Martin
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Michele Mecarelli
7-3 (W-L)
Andrej Martin
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Michele Mecarelli 1574 · Andrej Martin 1520
| Michele Mecarelli | Andrej Martin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Michele Mecarelli (rating 1574 vs 1520).
Statistics
| Michele Mecarelli | Andrej Martin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 71% (7) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.6 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-7.2 | 11.8-9.6 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 63.2% | 56.8% |
| Break % | 45.7% | 47.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Michele Mecarelli
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Gianmarco Ferrari M15 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/11 | Stepan Baum M15 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/11 | Simone Massucco M15 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 05/11 | Daniele Rapagnetta M15 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 8-4 | W |
| 04/11 | Vlad Cristian Breazu M15 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/10 | Branko Djuric M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Jonas Forejtek M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Edoardo Cherie Ligniere M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/09 | Aleksandre Shvangiradze M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/09 | Dmitry Popko M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Andrej Martin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Eero Vasa Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 01/11 | Achilles Belkovics UTR Pro Trnava · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 31/10 | Tadeas Paroulek UTR Pro Trnava · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 30/10 | Achilleas Makris UTR Pro Trnava · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/10 | Ondrej Hujo UTR Pro Trnava · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/10 | Trisztan Gubi UTR Pro Trnava · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/10 | Bercel Sandor Takacs UTR Pro Trnava · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/10 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/10 | Tiago Torres Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/10 | Alexander Ritschard Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Michele Mecarelli vs Andrej Martin?
Our model gives 55% to Andrej Martin, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.