Tennis · M25 San Gregorio · 11/11, 09:30

Prediction: Sergi Perez Contri vs John Sperle

Team pages: Sergi Perez Contri · John Sperle

Prediction summary
Winner
57% 43%
Sergi Perez Contri John Sperle
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Sergi Perez Contri 5-5 (W-L)
WLLLWWWWLL
John Sperle 5-5 (W-L)
LWWLWLLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sergi Perez Contri 1496 · John Sperle 1510
Sergi Perez ContriJohn Sperle
Our model48%52%
Market65%35%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Sergi Perez Contri makes many double faults (5.1/match).

Statistics

Sergi Perez ContriJohn Sperle
Win %50%50%
Win % · Clay 33% (6) 50% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.4-1.21.2-1.1
Games (G-P)13.5-11.211-11
Aces0.82.2
Double faults5.11.7
1st serve %63.6%65.1%
Break %37%38.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sergi Perez Contri

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/11 Ivan Gakhov
M25 Valencia
0-2 8-13 L
06/11 Samuele Pieri
M25 Valencia
2-1 16-10 W
06/11 Leonid Sheyngezikht
M25 Valencia
2-0 12-2 W
04/11 Dmitry Popko
M25 Valencia
2-0 12-4 W
19/10 Dimitris Sakellaridis
Challenger Florence · Clay
1-2 13-15 L
18/10 Sebastian Gima
Challenger Florence · Clay
2-0 14-11 W
12/10 Florian Broska
Challenger Maia · Clay
1-2 15-15 L
11/10 Tiago Cacao
Challenger Maia · Clay
2-1 14-10 W
04/10 Nicolas Barrientos
Challenger Braga · Clay
1-2 16-14 L
06/09 Alexander Ritschard
Challenger Seville · Clay
1-2 15-18 L

John Sperle

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/11 Stepan Baum
M15 San Gregorio · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
05/11 Antonio Caruso
M15 San Gregorio · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W
04/11 Andrea Fiorentini
M15 San Gregorio · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W
11/10 Alex Marti Pujolras
Challenger Catania · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
08/10 Vlad Cristian Breazu
M15 Burgas
1-2 13-18 L
07/10 Matthias Ujvary
M15 Burgas
2-0 13-6 W
29/09 Lorenzo Giustino
Challenger Bari · Clay
1-2 16-19 L
28/09 Franco Agamenone
Challenger Bari · Clay
2-1 14-14 W
27/09 Giuseppe La Vela
Challenger Bari · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
22/09 Jay Clarke
Challenger Genoa · Clay
0-2 8-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sergi Perez Contri vs John Sperle?

Our model gives 57% to Sergi Perez Contri, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.