Tennis · M25 San Gregorio · 11/11, 09:30
Prediction: Oleksandr Ovcharenko vs Pietro Marino
Team pages: Oleksandr Ovcharenko · Pietro Marino
Prediction summary
Winner
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
Pietro Marino
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
8-2 (W-L)
Pietro Marino
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
1–0
Pietro Marino
(1 last)
- 16 Feb2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oleksandr Ovcharenko 1521 · Pietro Marino 1465
| Oleksandr Ovcharenko | Pietro Marino | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oleksandr Ovcharenko (rating 1521 vs 1465).
- Head-to-head: Oleksandr Ovcharenko 1–0 Pietro Marino (1).
Statistics
| Oleksandr Ovcharenko | Pietro Marino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-10.6 | 9.6-10.8 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 71.3% | 62.1% |
| Break % | 41.7% | 49.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
H2H · Oleksandr Ovcharenko 1 – 0 Pietro Marino (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Oleksandr Ovcharenko 1–0 Pietro Marino
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/02/24 ITF M25 Hammamet | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Pavel Lagutin Challenger Catania · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 11/10 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/10 | Christian Langmo Challenger Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 04/10 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/09 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Bari · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 04/09 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Pol Martin Tiffon Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 01/09 | Robert Strombachs Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/08 | Franco Ribero Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/08 | Edoardo Cherie Ligniere Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Pietro Marino
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Gabriele Crivellaro M15 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/11 | Gabriele Maria Noce M15 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/10 | Tommaso Compagnucci M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Mak Mikovic M15 Sibenik |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Eric Vanshelboim M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Leonardo Primucci M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/09 | Daniele Rapagnetta M15 Melilla |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez M15 Melilla |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/09 | Leonid Sheyngezikht M15 Melilla |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oleksandr Ovcharenko vs Pietro Marino?
Our model gives 70% to Oleksandr Ovcharenko, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.