Tennis · M15 Monastir · 10/11, 12:00
Prediction: Mathieu Scaglia vs Milledge Cossu
Team pages: Mathieu Scaglia · Milledge Cossu
Prediction summary
Winner
Mathieu Scaglia
Milledge Cossu
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Mathieu Scaglia
3-7 (W-L)
Milledge Cossu
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mathieu Scaglia 1473 · Milledge Cossu 1413
| Mathieu Scaglia | Milledge Cossu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mathieu Scaglia (rating 1473 vs 1413).
- Note: Mathieu Scaglia makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Mathieu Scaglia | Milledge Cossu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 22% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.5 | 0.6-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-13.4 | 8.3-12.2 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 68.3% | 58.1% |
| Break % | 50.9% | 41.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mathieu Scaglia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Daniel Masur M25 Malta |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 13/10 | Luka Talan Lopatic M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 08/10 | Finn Murgett M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
| 07/10 | Henri Haupt M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/09 | Lucca Liu M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Robin Bertrand Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 06/09 | Amit Vales Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 28/08 | Pierre Delage M15 Cap d'Agde |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 27/08 | Jaume Casas Blasi M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Milledge Cossu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Oluwaseun Peter Ogunsakin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Carel Aubriel Ngounoue M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 02/09 | Hugo Cardinaud M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Nathan Blokhin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Alexander Frusina M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 06/05 | Jacob Bradshaw M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Ahmed Mouhan M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/04 | Toufik Sahtali M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Hudson Baxter M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mathieu Scaglia vs Milledge Cossu?
Our model gives 76% to Mathieu Scaglia, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.