Tennis · M15 Monastir · 11/11, 10:00

Prediction: Tuncay Duran vs Vincent Reisach

Team pages: Tuncay Duran · Vincent Reisach

Prediction summary
Winner
68% 32%
Tuncay Duran Vincent Reisach
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Tuncay Duran 6-4 (W-L)
WWWWLWWLLL
Vincent Reisach 4-6 (W-L)
LLWLWLWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tuncay Duran 1546 · Vincent Reisach 1503
Tuncay DuranVincent Reisach
Our model56%44%
Market78%22%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tuncay Duran (rating 1546 vs 1503).

Statistics

Tuncay DuranVincent Reisach
Win %70%50%
Win % · Hard 70% (10) 50% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.71-1.1
Games (G-P)10.4-8.410.4-10.5
Aces3.42.6
Double faults2.12.8
1st serve %71.3%67.6%
Break %52.7%38%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tuncay Duran

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/11 Nazim Makhlouf
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
04/11 Benito Sanchez Martinez
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 16-15 W
30/10 Benito Sanchez Martinez
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
29/10 Mahmoud Chetouane
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
28/10 Andrea Bacaloni
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
08/10 Nazim Makhlouf
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-1 4-6 L
07/10 Lucca Liu
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W
04/10 Kris Van Wyk
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 13-9 W
03/10 Emilien Demanet
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
02/10 Jack Loge
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W

Vincent Reisach

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/08 Robert Strombachs
M15 Warsaw
0-2 10-13 L
15/08 Fares Zakaria
M15 Warsaw
2-1 18-16 W
13/08 Alessandro Spadola
M15 Warsaw
2-0 12-8 W
11/08 Michael Gloeckler
M15 Warsaw
2-0 12-5 W
03/08 Pablo Perez Ramos
M25 Roehampton · ~Hard
0-2 10-13 L
02/08 Carl Holder
M25 Roehampton · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W
12/02 Mae Malige
M15 Oberhaching · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
11/02 Michael Agwi
M15 Oberhaching · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
27/01 Oleg Prihodko
M25 Nussloch · ~Carpet
0-2 4-12 L
16/01 Karol Filar
M15 Cadolzburg
0-2 7-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tuncay Duran vs Vincent Reisach?

Our model gives 68% to Tuncay Duran, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.