Tennis · M15 Antalya · 10/11, 07:30

Prediction: Alessandro Bellifemine vs Patrick Jozwicki

Team pages: Alessandro Bellifemine · Patrick Jozwicki

Prediction summary
Winner
63% 37%
Alessandro Bellifemine Patrick Jozwicki
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Alessandro Bellifemine 8-2 (W-L)
WWWLWWWWLW
Patrick Jozwicki 3-7 (W-L)
LWLWLLWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alessandro Bellifemine 1501 · Patrick Jozwicki 1441
Alessandro BellifeminePatrick Jozwicki
Our model59%41%
Market66%34%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alessandro Bellifemine (rating 1501 vs 1441).

Statistics

Alessandro BellifeminePatrick Jozwicki
Win %50%30%
Win % · Hard – 0% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.20.8-1.4
Games (G-P)10-9.98.3-10.5
Aces0.70.3
Double faults2.82.8
1st serve %61.7%53.9%
Break %49.1%60.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alessandro Bellifemine

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/10 Marco Furlanetto
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
1-2 8-12 L
08/10 Daniel Michalski
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
07/10 Leonardo Primucci
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-1 13-12 W
06/10 Filippo Francesco Garbero
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-1 10-6 W
22/09 Samuele Seghetti
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
1-2 15-17 L
21/09 Mattias Pisanu
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
03/09 Branko Djuric
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
02/09 Radovan Michalik
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
27/08 Anton Arzhankin
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 11-13 L
26/08 Samuil Chestovaliev
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Patrick Jozwicki

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/11 Mattia Nannelli
M15 Antalya · ~Hard
1-2 9-9 L
14/10 Benjamin Gusic Wan
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
26/08 Giovanni Oradini
M15 Vienna
0-2 2-12 L
24/08 Tim Ritzer
M15 Vienna
2-0 12-6 W
18/08 Gabriele Maria Noce
M15 Mistelbach
1-2 10-16 L
22/07 Marat Sharipov
M25 Ollersbach
0-2 7-12 L
21/07 Jiri Cizek
M25 Ollersbach
2-0 13-7 W
03/06 Ali Yazdani
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L
02/06 Sergio Planella Hernandez
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
06/05 Rocco Piatti
M15 Mbombela · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alessandro Bellifemine vs Patrick Jozwicki?

Our model gives 63% to Alessandro Bellifemine, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.