Tennis · W50 Yokohama · 11/11, 02:00

Prediction: Rinko Matsuda vs Yuka Naito

Team pages: Rinko Matsuda · Yuka Naito

Prediction summary
Winner
66% 34%
Rinko Matsuda Yuka Naito
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Rinko Matsuda 5-5 (W-L)
WWWLWWLLLL
Yuka Naito 7-3 (W-L)
WWWWWWLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rinko Matsuda 1469 · Yuka Naito 1491
Rinko MatsudaYuka Naito
Our model47%53%
Market81%19%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Rinko MatsudaYuka Naito
Win %40%50%
Win % · Hard 0% (4) 50% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.21.2-1.1
Games (G-P)10.8-11.511.7-10.2
Aces20.2
Double faults1.12.7
1st serve %57%53.3%
Break %54.7%59.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rinko Matsuda

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
31/10 Momoko Kobori
WTA Chennai · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
17/10 Mary Stoiana
WTA Osaka · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
04/10 Sijia Wei
WTA Suzhou · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
28/09 Katarzyna Kawa
WTA Beijing · Hard
1-2 15-15 L
24/09 Sakura Hosogi
W50 Nanao
1-2 15-18 L
22/09 Ikumi Yamazaki
W50 Nanao
2-0 12-5 W
19/09 Hiromi Abe
W35 Kyoto
1-2 12-17 L
18/09 Natsumi Kawaguchi
W35 Kyoto
2-0 12-6 W
17/09 Hina Inoue
W35 Kyoto
2-0 12-8 W
15/09 Ayumi Miyamoto
W35 Kyoto
2-0 13-9 W

Yuka Naito

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/06 Ying Zhang
W15 Sapporo
0-2 7-12 L
24/06 Eunchae Kim
W15 Sapporo
2-0 13-7 W
18/05 Momoko Kobori
W100 Takasaki · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
15/03 Sakura Hosogi
W75 Kofu · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
30/01 Fiona Ganz
W15 Antalya · ~Hard
1-2 15-19 L
29/01 Anna Shkutova
W15 Antalya · ~Hard
2-1 18-8 W
28/01 Carol Plakk
W15 Antalya · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W
22/01 Daria Lodikova
W15 Antalya · ~Hard
1-2 10-13 L
21/01 Ana Maria Capeti
W15 Antalya · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
20/01 Ayse Yagmur Baylan
W15 Antalya · ~Hard
2-0 11-3 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rinko Matsuda vs Yuka Naito?

Our model gives 66% to Rinko Matsuda, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.