Tennis · W50 Yokohama · 10/11, 05:00

Prediction: Jia-Jing Lu vs Caroline Werner

Team pages: Jia-Jing Lu · Caroline Werner

Prediction summary
Winner
48% 52%
Jia-Jing Lu Caroline Werner
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Jia-Jing Lu 5-5 (W-L)
WLWLWWLLWL
Caroline Werner 5-5 (W-L)
WWLWLWLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jia-Jing Lu 1502 · Caroline Werner 1495
Jia-Jing LuCaroline Werner
Our model51%49%
Market46%54%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Jia-Jing Lu makes many double faults (5.2/match).
  • Note: Caroline Werner makes many double faults (4.2/match).

Statistics

Jia-Jing LuCaroline Werner
Win %50%50%
Win % · Hard 40% (5) 50% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.31.2-1.2
Games (G-P)11.5-12.111.5-10.1
Aces2.11.2
Double faults5.24.2
1st serve %59.1%62.9%
Break %35%41%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jia-Jing Lu

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/11 Yeon Woo Ku
W100 Incheon
0-2 5-12 L
04/11 Naho Sato
W100 Incheon
2-0 14-11 W
03/11 Erika Sema
W100 Incheon
2-1 19-13 W
06/10 Tamara Korpatsch
WTA Suzhou · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
05/10 Wushuang Zheng
WTA Suzhou · Hard
1-2 15-16 L
04/10 Zongyu Li
WTA Suzhou · Hard
2-1 18-13 W
30/09 Alexandra Shubladze
WTA Jingshan · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
28/09 Hayu Kinoshita
WTA Jingshan · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
24/09 Tiana Tian Deng
W50 Nanao
0-2 6-12 L
23/09 Cheuk Ying Shek
W50 Nanao
2-1 17-12 W

Caroline Werner

WWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/11 Zhuoxuan Bai
W100 Incheon
1-2 12-15 L
28/10 Elsa Jacquemot
WTA Courmayeur · Hard
1-2 15-17 L
20/10 Marina Bassols Ribera
W100 Wrexham
0-2 7-12 L
19/10 Ankita Raina
W100 Wrexham
2-1 16-9 W
18/10 Amelie Brooks
W100 Wrexham
2-0 12-6 W
12/10 Anouk Koevermans
WTA Rovereto · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
11/10 Kristina Novak
WTA Rovereto · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
08/10 Anna Blinkova
WTA Samsun · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
07/10 Elvin Egribel
WTA Samsun · Hard
2-0 12-0 W
05/10 Weronika Falkowska
WTA Samsun · Hard
2-1 15-15 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jia-Jing Lu vs Caroline Werner?

Our model gives 52% to Caroline Werner, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.