Tennis · W50 Yokohama · 11/11, 02:00
Prediction: Naho Sato vs Anri Nagata
Team pages: Naho Sato · Anri Nagata
Prediction summary
Winner
Naho Sato
Anri Nagata
Estimated games
18.8
Recent form · 10 last
Naho Sato
8-2 (W-L)
Anri Nagata
1-9 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Naho Sato
4–0
Anri Nagata
(4 last)
- 21 Apr2-0 12-3W
- 26 Nov2-0 12-5W
- 30 May2-1 16-6W
- 16 Jun2-0 12-2W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Naho Sato 1598 · Anri Nagata 1412
| Naho Sato | Anri Nagata | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 74% | 26% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Naho Sato (rating 1598 vs 1412).
- Naho Sato is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Naho Sato 4–0 Anri Nagata (4).
Statistics
| Naho Sato | Anri Nagata | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.4 | 0.5-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-6.4 | 7.1-11.1 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 62.5% | 53.5% |
| Break % | 61.8% | 39.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
18.8
H2H · Naho Sato 4 – 0 Anri Nagata (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Naho Sato 4–0 Anri Nagata
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/04/26 W35 Miyazaki | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/11/25 W50 Yokohama | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/05/23 ITF W25 Tokyo | 2-1 | 16-6 | W |
| 16/06/22 ITF W15 Chiang Rai | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Naho Sato
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Jia-Jing Lu W100 Incheon |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 03/11 | Meiqi Guo W100 Incheon |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/10 | Ena Shibahara W35 Wagga Wagga |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/10 | Himari Sato W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/10 | Haruka Kaji W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/10 | Olga Danilova W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/10 | Chihiro Muramatsu W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 04/10 | Mio Mushika W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/10 | Kanon Sawashiro W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/10 | Hikaru Sato W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Anri Nagata
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Koharu Ito W35 Hamamatsu |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/11 | Mua Shigeta W35 Hamamatsu |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 27/10 | Yingqun Sun W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Hong Yi Cody Wong W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Jiangxue Han W50 Nanao |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Suzuna Oigawa W50 Nanao |
2-1 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/09 | Nagi Hanatani W35 Kyoto |
1-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 07/09 | Yuka Matsumoto W15 Yeongwol |
0-2 | 2-8 | L |
| 09/08 | Sophie Bekker W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Gabriella Da Silva Fick W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Naho Sato vs Anri Nagata?
Our model gives 82% to Naho Sato, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.