Tennis · W50 Yokohama · 10/11, 03:30
Prediction: Nagi Hanatani vs Sae Noguchi
Team pages: Nagi Hanatani · Sae Noguchi
Prediction summary
Winner
Nagi Hanatani
Sae Noguchi
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Nagi Hanatani
6-4 (W-L)
Sae Noguchi
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Nagi Hanatani
0–1
Sae Noguchi
(1 last)
- 05 Sept1-2 8-15L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nagi Hanatani 1533 · Sae Noguchi 1576
| Nagi Hanatani | Sae Noguchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sae Noguchi (rating 1533 vs 1576).
- Head-to-head: Nagi Hanatani 0–1 Sae Noguchi (1).
- Note: Nagi Hanatani makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Nagi Hanatani | Sae Noguchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-10.6 | 11.4-9.1 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 4 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 57.1% | 56.6% |
| Break % | 44.6% | 42.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
H2H · Nagi Hanatani 0 – 1 Sae Noguchi (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nagi Hanatani 0–1 Sae Noguchi
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09/25 W15 Yeongwol | 1-2 | 8-15 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nagi Hanatani
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Michika Ozeki W50 Yokohama |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 03/11 | Yujia Huang W100 Incheon |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/11 | Hee Rae Im W100 Incheon |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 30/10 | Violet Apisah W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/10 | Saily Prashantkumar Thakkar W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/10 | Melany Solange Krywoj W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/10 | Mutsumi Uemura W35 Wagga Wagga |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 02/10 | Kanon Sawashiro W35 Wagga Wagga |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 01/10 | Nana Onozawa W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 29/09 | Natsuho Arakawa W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Sae Noguchi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Shiho Tsujioka W50 Yokohama |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/11 | Kanon Sawashiro W35 Hamamatsu |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 03/11 | Jiangxue Han W35 Hamamatsu |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 25/10 | Ayumi Miyamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 23/10 | Junri Namigata UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 23/10 | Himari Sato UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/10 | Ayumi Miyamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/10 | Tsuki Shibutani UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/10 | Rito Arima UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/09 | Nana Onozawa W50 Nanao |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nagi Hanatani vs Sae Noguchi?
Our model gives 68% to Sae Noguchi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.