Tennis · W50 Yokohama · 10/11, 02:00
Prediction: Chia Yi Tsao vs Ekaterina Ovcharenko
Team pages: Chia Yi Tsao · Ekaterina Ovcharenko
Prediction summary
Winner
Chia Yi Tsao
Ekaterina Ovcharenko
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Chia Yi Tsao
5-5 (W-L)
Ekaterina Ovcharenko
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chia Yi Tsao 1499 · Ekaterina Ovcharenko 1488
| Chia Yi Tsao | Ekaterina Ovcharenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Ekaterina Ovcharenko makes many double faults (6.2/match).
Statistics
| Chia Yi Tsao | Ekaterina Ovcharenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-9.1 | 9.2-11.2 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 6.2 |
| 1st serve % | 60.6% | 66.3% |
| Break % | 38.1% | 34.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chia Yi Tsao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Kayo Nishimura W50 Yokohama |
1-1 | 7-8 | L |
| 07/11 | Ayano Shimizu W35 Hamamatsu |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/11 | Koharu Ito W35 Hamamatsu |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/11 | Kisa Yoshioka W35 Hamamatsu |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/11 | Riko Kikawada W35 Hamamatsu |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/10 | Vaidehee Chaudhari W35 Sydney |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/10 | Monique Barry W35 Sydney |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 23/09 | Eri Shimizu W50 Nanao |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Miyu Nakashima W50 Nanao |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/09 | Hiromi Abe W35 Kyoto |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Ekaterina Ovcharenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | JiaYi Wang W100 Incheon |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/11 | Hyerin Sim W100 Incheon |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 28/10 | Wushuang Zheng W35 Kunshan |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Junlu Sun W35 Qian Daohu |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 16/10 | Chengyiyi Yuan W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Junlu Sun W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 13/10 | Liuyan An W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/09 | Elsa Jacquemot WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 26/08 | Fiona Crawley WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chia Yi Tsao vs Ekaterina Ovcharenko?
Our model gives 53% to Chia Yi Tsao, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.