Tennis · M15 Kuala Lumpur · 10/11, 03:30
Prediction: Adam Bajurko vs Takumi Katsuda
Team pages: Adam Bajurko · Takumi Katsuda
Prediction summary
Winner
Adam Bajurko
Takumi Katsuda
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Adam Bajurko
2-8 (W-L)
Takumi Katsuda
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adam Bajurko 1394 · Takumi Katsuda 1508
| Adam Bajurko | Takumi Katsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Takumi Katsuda (rating 1394 vs 1508).
- Takumi Katsuda is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Adam Bajurko | Takumi Katsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (3) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.3-1.8 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.5-11.6 | 9-10 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 59.8% | 63.4% |
| Break % | 41.8% | 30.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adam Bajurko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Pranav Gadgil M15 Kuala Lumpur |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/10 | Fares Zakaria M25 Luanda · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/10 | Florent Bax M25 Luanda · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Liam Delicata M15 Baku |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Aleksandre Shvangiradze M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
| 25/08 | Mousa Alkotop M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Barney Fitzpatrick M15 Warsaw |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Shanker Heisnam M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/05 | Makar Elesin M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 29/04 | Alexey Dubinin M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Takumi Katsuda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Sharan Somasi M15 Kuala Lumpur |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/10 | Hugo Hashimoto M15 Tanagura |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Kaede Katayama M15 Tanagura |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 25/09 | Masaki Ishikawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Liam Youn UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 24/09 | Taki Adachi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/09 | Natsuki Yamamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Raffael Gasanov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/09 | Riku Takahata M25 Sapporo |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Yunseong Chung M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adam Bajurko vs Takumi Katsuda?
Our model gives 67% to Takumi Katsuda, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.