Tennis · ATP Stockholm · 10/11, 11:00
Prediction: Adrian Mannarino vs Alexander Shevchenko
Team pages: Adrian Mannarino · Alexander Shevchenko
Prediction summary
Winner
Adrian Mannarino
Alexander Shevchenko
Estimated games
21.9Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Adrian Mannarino
6-3 (W-L)
Alexander Shevchenko
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Adrian Mannarino
1–0
Alexander Shevchenko
(1 last)
- 05 Jul3-0 18-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adrian Mannarino 1540 · Alexander Shevchenko 1511
| Adrian Mannarino | Alexander Shevchenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 55% | 45% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Adrian Mannarino 1–0 Alexander Shevchenko (1).
Statistics
| Adrian Mannarino | Alexander Shevchenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-11.7 | 11.2-10.2 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 68.4% | 72.6% |
| Break % | 42.1% | 47.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9 · Bet365 line 23.5 · -1.6
Over 23.5: 39% · 1.83
Under 23.5: 61% · 1.83
H2H · Adrian Mannarino 1 – 0 Alexander Shevchenko (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Adrian Mannarino 1–0 Alexander Shevchenko
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/23 Wimbledon | 3-0 | 18-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adrian Mannarino
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Toby Samuel ATP Stockholm · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 07/11 | Jan Simonsson ATP Stockholm · Hard |
1-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 31/10 | Nuno Borges ATP Paris · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 30/10 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Vienna · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Jakub Mensik ATP Vienna · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/10 | Ignacio Buse ATP Vienna · Hard |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 25/10 | Alex Molcan ATP Vienna · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/10 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Vienna · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/10 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Almaty · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Andrey Rublev ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Alexander Shevchenko
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Jacob Fearnley ATP Stockholm · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/11 | Viktor Durasovic ATP Stockholm · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/11 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 18/10 | Stefanos Sakellaridis ATP Almaty · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 17/10 | Daniil Glinka ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 16/10 | Mattia Bellucci Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Jay Friend Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/10 | Miomir Kecmanovic Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/10 | Yoshihito Nishioka ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Hayato Matsuoka Asian Games |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adrian Mannarino vs Alexander Shevchenko?
Our model gives 55% to Adrian Mannarino, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.