Tennis · M15 Hua Hin · 11/11, 04:00

Prediction: Penn Charusorn vs Adrian Arcon

Team pages: Penn Charusorn · Adrian Arcon

Prediction summary
Winner
57% 43%
Penn Charusorn Adrian Arcon
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Penn Charusorn 7-3 (W-L)
LWWWLWWWLW
Adrian Arcon 3-7 (W-L)
LLWLWLLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Penn Charusorn 1507 · Adrian Arcon 1452
Penn CharusornAdrian Arcon
Our model58%42%
Market56%44%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Penn Charusorn (rating 1507 vs 1452).
  • Note: Penn Charusorn makes many double faults (5.1/match).

Statistics

Penn CharusornAdrian Arcon
Win %50%30%
Win % · Hard 50% (8) 0% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.10.8-1.5
Games (G-P)10.6-10.79.9-12.2
Aces1.44.9
Double faults5.12.8
1st serve %64.3%65.8%
Break %35.9%45.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Penn Charusorn

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/11 Hendrik Thada Grohbruegge
M15 Hua Hin
2-0 12-8 W
08/11 Ryu Kotikula
M15 Hua Hin
0-1 6-7 L
07/09 Anup Bangargi
M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
06/09 Dharma Pantaratorn
M15 Nonthaburi Qual · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
18/07 Yuga Tashiro
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
1-2 10-13 L
16/07 Min Jae Kim
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
15/07 Shion Itsusaki
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
2-1 18-15 W
14/07 Shingo Masuda
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
1-2 9-16 L
13/07 Jonathan Irwanto
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
2-1 14-15 W
13/05 Tanakorn Srirat
M15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L

Adrian Arcon

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/11 Chirag Duhan
M15 Fergana
0-2 5-12 L
05/11 Amir Omarkhanov
M15 Fergana
2-0 12-5 W
03/11 Makhmudbek Beknazarov
M15 Fergana
2-1 19-17 W
28/10 Maksim Shin
M15 Fergana
0-2 11-14 L
07/10 Wihan Van Der Merwe
M25 Darwin
1-2 13-17 L
06/10 Luca Connaughton
M25 Darwin
1-2 9-12 L
30/09 Zak Talic
M25 Darwin
0-2 5-12 L
29/09 Aleksandar Govedarica
M25 Darwin
2-0 13-8 W
09/09 Markus Malaszszak
M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
02/09 Chen Dong
M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Penn Charusorn vs Adrian Arcon?

Our model gives 57% to Penn Charusorn, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.