Tennis · M15 Hua Hin · 11/11, 04:00
Prediction: James Van Herzeele vs Ren Nakamura
Team pages: James Van Herzeele · Ren Nakamura
Prediction summary
Winner
James Van Herzeele
Ren Nakamura
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
James Van Herzeele
5-5 (W-L)
Ren Nakamura
2-8 (W-L)
Head-to-head
James Van Herzeele
1–0
Ren Nakamura
(1 last)
- 17 Jun2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · James Van Herzeele 1460 · Ren Nakamura 1452
| James Van Herzeele | Ren Nakamura | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: James Van Herzeele 1–0 Ren Nakamura (1).
Statistics
| James Van Herzeele | Ren Nakamura | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 0.6-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-12.5 | 7.5-10.5 |
| Aces | 5.7 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 72.8% | 59.5% |
| Break % | 29.8% | 32.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
H2H · James Van Herzeele 1 – 0 Ren Nakamura (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · James Van Herzeele 1–0 Ren Nakamura
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06/24 ITF M15 Hong Kong | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
James Van Herzeele
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Kousuke Ogura M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 21/10 | Cooper Kose M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 07/10 | Xirui Han M25 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 06/10 | Anthony Susanto M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/10 | Nino Ehrenschneider M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Nick Beamish M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/09 | Thantub Suksumrarn M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 09/09 | Yuttana Charoenphon M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/09 | Manish Sureshkumar M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Petr Bar Biryukov M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
Ren Nakamura
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Adhithya Ganesan M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/10 | Hong-Lin Fu M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/10 | Allen Leong M15 Singapore Qual · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/10 | Taisei Ichikawa M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 06/09 | Hanyi Liu Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Azuma Visaya M15 Bali |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Kristjan Tamm M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Ryuki Matsuda M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Corban Crowther M15 Bali |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 26/07 | Diordan Macababbad M15 Bali Qual |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in James Van Herzeele vs Ren Nakamura?
Our model gives 62% to James Van Herzeele, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.