Tennis · M15 Kuala Lumpur · 11/11, 02:00
Prediction: Chen Dong vs Yuto Oki
Team pages: Chen Dong · Yuto Oki
Prediction summary
Winner
Chen Dong
Yuto Oki
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Chen Dong
5-5 (W-L)
Yuto Oki
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Chen Dong
1–0
Yuto Oki
(1 last)
- 14 Aug2-1 15-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chen Dong 1493 · Yuto Oki 1579
| Chen Dong | Yuto Oki | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yuto Oki (rating 1493 vs 1579).
- Yuto Oki is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Chen Dong 1–0 Yuto Oki (1).
Statistics
| Chen Dong | Yuto Oki | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-12.1 | 11.2-8.5 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 61.2% | 69.4% |
| Break % | 41.9% | 41.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
H2H · Chen Dong 1 – 0 Yuto Oki (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chen Dong 1–0 Yuto Oki
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08/25 M15 Singapore | 2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chen Dong
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Sam Ryan Ziegann M25 Tamworth |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 22/10 | Philip Sekulic M25 Tamworth |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 21/10 | Mustafa Ege Sik M25 Tamworth |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 08/10 | Stefan Vujic M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Herman Hoeyeraal M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 01/10 | Colin Sinclair M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Makoto Ochi M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/09 | Pawit Sornlaksup M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 09/09 | Dev Javia M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/09 | Manish Sureshkumar M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Yuto Oki
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Hikaru Shiraishi M15 Yanagawa City |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/10 | Yuta Tomida M15 Yanagawa City |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/10 | Ko Suzuki M15 Yanagawa City |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/10 | Oscar Brown M15 Yanagawa City |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 25/10 | Hugo Hashimoto M15 Tanagura |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/10 | Takuya Kumasaka M15 Tanagura |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 23/10 | Hyu Kawanishi M15 Tanagura |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/10 | Shotaro Yamamoto M15 Tanagura |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/10 | Taiyo Yamanaka M15 Tanagura |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/09 | Kuan-Yi Lee M25 Sapporo |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chen Dong vs Yuto Oki?
Our model gives 68% to Yuto Oki, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.