Tennis · M15 Kuala Lumpur · 11/11, 02:00
Prediction: Ammar Faleh Alhogbani vs Calvin Mueller
Team pages: Ammar Faleh Alhogbani · Calvin Mueller
Prediction summary
Winner
Ammar Faleh Alhogbani
Calvin Mueller
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Ammar Faleh Alhogbani
6-4 (W-L)
Calvin Mueller
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ammar Faleh Alhogbani 1498 · Calvin Mueller 1571
| Ammar Faleh Alhogbani | Calvin Mueller | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Calvin Mueller (rating 1498 vs 1571).
- Calvin Mueller is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Ammar Faleh Alhogbani | Calvin Mueller | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-12.3 | 12.2-8.7 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 64.9% | 73% |
| Break % | 44.7% | 37.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ammar Faleh Alhogbani
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Justas Trainauskas M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 08/10 | Amr Asrawy M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Aaron Gabet M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 30/09 | Pijus Vaitiekunas M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/09 | Michal Krajci M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Chirag Duhan M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Qian Sun M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 26/08 | Rigele Te M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Ku Keon Kang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Xin Zhou M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Calvin Mueller
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Edoardo Cherie Ligniere M15 Fergana |
0-1 | 7-8 | L |
| 29/10 | Maksim Shin M15 Fergana |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/10 | Abdulaziz Usmonjonov M15 Fergana |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 23/10 | Arthur Nagel M25 Sarreguemines |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 22/10 | Florent Lagarrigue M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 17/10 | Mika Petkovic M15 Offenbach |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 16/10 | Flynn Thomas M15 Offenbach |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/10 | Jelle Sels M15 Offenbach |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/10 | Yannik Kelm M15 Offenbach |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 13/10 | Mac Visser M15 Offenbach |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ammar Faleh Alhogbani vs Calvin Mueller?
Our model gives 74% to Calvin Mueller, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.