Tennis · WTA Finals · 10/11, 22:30
Prediction: Coco Gauff vs Linda Noskova
Team pages: Coco Gauff · Linda Noskova
Prediction summary
Winner
Coco Gauff
Linda Noskova
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Coco Gauff
8-2 (W-L)
Linda Noskova
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Coco Gauff
2–1
Linda Noskova
(3 last)
- 27 Apr1-2 16-14L
- 18 Aug2-0 12-4W
- 13 Mar2-0 12-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Coco Gauff 1596 · Linda Noskova 1590
| Coco Gauff | Linda Noskova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 60% | 40% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Linda Noskova dominates on serve: 7.2 aces and 52.9% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Coco Gauff 2–1 Linda Noskova (3).
- Note: Coco Gauff makes many double faults (5.4/match).
- Note: Linda Noskova makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Coco Gauff | Linda Noskova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-10.3 | 13.3-9.5 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 7.2 |
| Double faults | 5.4 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 66.4% | 72.5% |
| Break % | 59.1% | 52.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
H2H · Coco Gauff 2 – 1 Linda Noskova (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Coco Gauff 2–1 Linda Noskova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04/26 WTA Madrid | 1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 18/08/23 WTA Cincinnati | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/03/23 WTA Indian Wells | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Coco Gauff
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Jessica Pegula WTA Finals · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 07/10 | Elise Mertens WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Xinran Sun WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 03/10 | Maria Camila Osorio WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 11/09 | Elena Rybakina US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 09/09 | Mirra Andreeva US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 08/09 | Iva Jovic US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/09 | Cristina Bucsa US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/09 | Paula Badosa US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/09 | Zeynep Sonmez US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Linda Noskova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Marta Kostyuk WTA Finals · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/10 | Ekaterina Alexandrova WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Viktorija Golubic WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/10 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/09 | Elina Svitolina Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/09 | Cristina Bucsa Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Katie Boulter Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/09 | Aryna Sabalenka US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 06/09 | Marta Kostyuk US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 04/09 | Ann Li US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Coco Gauff vs Linda Noskova?
Our model gives 56% to Coco Gauff, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.