Tennis · W75 Brisbane · 11/11, 02:00
Prediction: Chengyiyi Yuan vs Emerson Jones
Team pages: Chengyiyi Yuan · Emerson Jones
Prediction summary
Winner
Chengyiyi Yuan
Emerson Jones
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Chengyiyi Yuan
8-2 (W-L)
Emerson Jones
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Chengyiyi Yuan
0–2
Emerson Jones
(2 last)
- 03 Feb0-2 3-12L
- 11 Nov0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chengyiyi Yuan 1548 · Emerson Jones 1477
| Chengyiyi Yuan | Emerson Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 11% | 89% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chengyiyi Yuan (rating 1548 vs 1477).
- Chengyiyi Yuan is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Chengyiyi Yuan 0–2 Emerson Jones (2).
- Note: Chengyiyi Yuan makes many double faults (10.2/match).
Statistics
| Chengyiyi Yuan | Emerson Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-11.2 | 10.5-10.6 |
| Aces | 4 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 10.2 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 71.8% | 61.3% |
| Break % | 50.3% | 52% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
H2H · Chengyiyi Yuan 0 – 2 Emerson Jones (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chengyiyi Yuan 0–2 Emerson Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/02/26 W75 Brisbane | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/11/25 ITF W50 Brisbane | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chengyiyi Yuan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Belle Thompson W75 Brisbane |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 08/11 | Eva Lopez W75 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 31/10 | Yu Jun Lin W35 Kunshan |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/10 | Yushan Shao W35 Kunshan |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 29/10 | Daria Zelinskaya W35 Kunshan |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/10 | Ksenia Efremova W35 Kunshan |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 22/10 | Yidi Yang W35 Qian Daohu |
1-2 | 18-15 | L |
| 21/10 | Cheuk Ying Shek W35 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/10 | Sijia Wei W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 16/10 | Ekaterina Ovcharenko W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Emerson Jones
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Alexandra Eala WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/11 | Alexandra Shubladze WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 31/10 | Heather Watson WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/10 | Dayana Yastremska WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/10 | Hong Yi Cody Wong WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 20/10 | Ann Li WTA Osaka · Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 17/10 | Heather Watson WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/10 | Zhuoxuan Bai WTA Suzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 06/10 | Mai Hontama WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/10 | Alexandra Shubladze WTA Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chengyiyi Yuan vs Emerson Jones?
Our model gives 67% to Emerson Jones, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.