Tennis · W75 Brisbane · 11/11, 02:00
Prediction: Joanna Garland vs Hikaru Sato
Team pages: Joanna Garland · Hikaru Sato
Prediction summary
Winner
Joanna Garland
Hikaru Sato
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Joanna Garland
6-4 (W-L)
Hikaru Sato
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Joanna Garland
0–1
Hikaru Sato
(1 last)
- 01 Aug0-2 7-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joanna Garland 1525 · Hikaru Sato 1583
| Joanna Garland | Hikaru Sato | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hikaru Sato (rating 1525 vs 1583).
- Hikaru Sato is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Joanna Garland 0–1 Hikaru Sato (1).
Statistics
| Joanna Garland | Hikaru Sato | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.8-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-9 | 12.8-9.4 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 65.3% | 60.9% |
| Break % | 40.3% | 52.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
H2H · Joanna Garland 0 – 1 Hikaru Sato (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Joanna Garland 0–1 Hikaru Sato
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/24 W35 Roehampton | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joanna Garland
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Janice Tjen WTA Chennai · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/11 | Jil Teichmann WTA Chennai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/10 | Tatiana Prozorova WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 24/10 | Maddison Inglis WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/09 | Xinyu Wang WTA Singapore · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/09 | Storm Hunter WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 20/09 | Viktoria Morvayova WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/09 | Ellen Perez WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/09 | Sijia Wei W50 Guiyang |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Darya Astakhova W75 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Hikaru Sato
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Jizelle Sibai W75 Brisbane |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 08/11 | Elyse Tse W75 Brisbane |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 01/11 | Katie Swan W35 Sydney |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 31/10 | Belle Thompson W35 Sydney |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 30/10 | Erika Sema W35 Sydney |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 29/10 | Renee Alame W35 Sydney |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/10 | Merel Hoedt W35 Sydney |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/10 | I Wen Wan W35 Sydney |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 24/10 | Mio Mushika W35 Sydney |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/10 | Naiktha Bains W35 Sydney |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joanna Garland vs Hikaru Sato?
Our model gives 60% to Joanna Garland, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.