Tennis · Challenger Matsuyama · 10/11, 03:30
Prediction: Shintaro Imai vs Fajing Sun
Team pages: Shintaro Imai · Fajing Sun
Prediction summary
Winner
Shintaro Imai
Fajing Sun
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Shintaro Imai
6-4 (W-L)
Fajing Sun
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Shintaro Imai
2–1
Fajing Sun
(3 last)
- 10 Jun2-0 12-7W
- 01 Jun2-0 12-6W
- 14 Oct0-2 8-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shintaro Imai 1548 · Fajing Sun 1479
| Shintaro Imai | Fajing Sun | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shintaro Imai (rating 1548 vs 1479).
- Head-to-head: Shintaro Imai 2–1 Fajing Sun (3).
Statistics
| Shintaro Imai | Fajing Sun | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-9 | 11.6-12.6 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 4 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 69.5% | 70.4% |
| Break % | 40.6% | 33.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
H2H · Shintaro Imai 2 – 1 Fajing Sun (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shintaro Imai 2–1 Fajing Sun
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/06/22 ITF M25 Chiang Rai | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/06/22 ITF M25 Chiang Rai | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/10/19 Challenger Ningbo | 0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shintaro Imai
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Sho Katayama Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/11 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/10 | Yunseong Chung Challenger Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/10 | Uisung Park Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/10 | Kokoro Isomura Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 07/10 | Zane Stevens M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Scott Jones M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Zane Stevens M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/09 | Pawit Sornlaksup M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Jordan Hasson M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Fajing Sun
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 27/10 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 22/10 | Keegan Smith Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 20/10 | Qian Sun Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/10 | Jie Cui Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/10 | Alibek Kachmazov Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/09 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 24/09 | Roman Safiullin ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Bernard Tomic ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shintaro Imai vs Fajing Sun?
Our model gives 55% to Fajing Sun, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.