Tennis · Challenger Matsuyama · 10/11, 03:30
Prediction: Rei Sakamoto vs Renta Tokuda
Team pages: Rei Sakamoto · Renta Tokuda
Prediction summary
Winner
Rei Sakamoto
Renta Tokuda
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Rei Sakamoto
7-3 (W-L)
Renta Tokuda
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rei Sakamoto 1584 · Renta Tokuda 1537
| Rei Sakamoto | Renta Tokuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rei Sakamoto (rating 1584 vs 1537).
Statistics
| Rei Sakamoto | Renta Tokuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-9.5 | 12.7-12 |
| Aces | 8.1 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 77.1% | 67.5% |
| Break % | 34.8% | 48.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rei Sakamoto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Zhizhen Zhang Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/10 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/10 | Karen Khachanov ATP Almaty · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Gabriel Diallo ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 17/10 | Amir Omarkhanov ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/10 | Alex De Minaur ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 09/10 | Andrey Rublev ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/10 | Marco Trungelliti ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/10 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 05/10 | Seong Chan Hong ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Renta Tokuda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Keisuke Saitoh Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 08/11 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 27/07 | Joshua Sheehy Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 20/07 | Millen Hurrion Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 19/07 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 12/07 | Alexander Rozin Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/06 | Naoki Nakagawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-1 | 4-6 | L |
| 18/06 | Shunsuke Nakagawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Ryota Tanuma M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/06 | Shu Matsuoka M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rei Sakamoto vs Renta Tokuda?
Our model gives 70% to Rei Sakamoto, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.