Tennis · Challenger Matsuyama · 10/11, 05:00
Prediction: Takuya Kumasaka vs Yi Zhou
Team pages: Takuya Kumasaka · Yi Zhou
Prediction summary
Winner
Takuya Kumasaka
Yi Zhou
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Takuya Kumasaka
8-2 (W-L)
Yi Zhou
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Takuya Kumasaka 1595 · Yi Zhou 1535
| Takuya Kumasaka | Yi Zhou | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Takuya Kumasaka (rating 1595 vs 1535).
Statistics
| Takuya Kumasaka | Yi Zhou | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (2) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.5 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-6.7 | 12.6-12.4 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 8.1 |
| Double faults | 0.6 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 81.1% |
| Break % | 41.6% | 27.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Takuya Kumasaka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Luca Staeheli Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/11 | Yuta Tomida Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/10 | Taiyo Yamanaka M15 Yanagawa City |
1-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/10 | Sora Fukuda M15 Yanagawa City |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/10 | Ryota Tanuma M15 Yanagawa City |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/10 | Kentaro Otsuka M15 Yanagawa City |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 24/10 | Yuto Oki M15 Tanagura |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 23/10 | Yusuke Kusuhara M15 Tanagura |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/10 | Noritaka Koizumi M15 Tanagura |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/10 | Reiya Komagata M15 Tanagura |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Yi Zhou
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Jake Delaney Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 27/10 | Elias Ymer Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 24/10 | Coleman Wong Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/10 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 21/10 | Zhizhen Zhang Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/10 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/10 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 09/10 | Lorenzo Musetti ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 07/10 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 28/09 | Pablo Carreno Busta ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Takuya Kumasaka vs Yi Zhou?
Our model gives 60% to Yi Zhou, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.