Tennis · Challenger Brisbane · 10/11, 01:00
Prediction: Dane Sweeny vs Anton Shepp
Team pages: Dane Sweeny · Anton Shepp
Prediction summary
Winner
Dane Sweeny
Anton Shepp
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Dane Sweeny
2-8 (W-L)
Anton Shepp
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dane Sweeny 1466 · Anton Shepp 1552
| Dane Sweeny | Anton Shepp | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anton Shepp (rating 1466 vs 1552).
- Anton Shepp dominates on serve: 7.2 aces and 40.6% break avg.
Statistics
| Dane Sweeny | Anton Shepp | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.6 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-12 | 13.1-10.8 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 7.2 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 67.5% | 72.5% |
| Break % | 36.6% | 40.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dane Sweeny
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Shintaro Mochizuki Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/10 | Kimmer Coppejans ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Tristan Schoolkate ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 02/10 | Alex Bolt Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/09 | Omar Jasika Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 24/09 | Taro Daniel ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/09 | Luciano Darderi US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 10-18 | L |
| 03/09 | Lorenzo Musetti US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 21-11 | W |
| 18/08 | Jesper De Jong Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
Anton Shepp
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Dominik Palan Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/11 | Hayden Jones Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 30/10 | Blake Ellis M25 Tamworth |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 29/10 | Zane Stevens M25 Tamworth |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 28/10 | Ethan Cook M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/10 | Isaac Becroft M25 Tamworth |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 21/10 | Reece Falck M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/10 | Kristjan Tamm M25 Qian Daohu |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 14/10 | Zichen Shao M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 09/10 | Yanki Erel M25 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dane Sweeny vs Anton Shepp?
Our model gives 53% to Dane Sweeny, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.