Tennis · Challenger Matsuyama · 10/11, 05:00
Prediction: Ryuki Matsuda vs Max Schoenhaus
Team pages: Ryuki Matsuda · Max Schoenhaus
Prediction summary
Winner
Ryuki Matsuda
Max Schoenhaus
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Ryuki Matsuda
7-3 (W-L)
Max Schoenhaus
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ryuki Matsuda 1565 · Max Schoenhaus 1486
| Ryuki Matsuda | Max Schoenhaus | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ryuki Matsuda (rating 1565 vs 1486).
- Max Schoenhaus dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 40.6% break avg.
Statistics
| Ryuki Matsuda | Max Schoenhaus | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.8 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-9 | 13.7-12 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 6.8 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 64.4% | 75.7% |
| Break % | 39.9% | 40.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ryuki Matsuda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/11 | Taisei Ichikawa Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/10 | Naoya Honda Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Digvijay Pratap Singh M25 Mumbai · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Pawit Sornlaksup M25 Mumbai · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 21/10 | Mukund Sasikumar M25 Mumbai · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/10 | Yuta Kikuchi Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Sergey Betov Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/10 | Nino Ehrenschneider M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 02/10 | Kousuke Ogura M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
Max Schoenhaus
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Tallon Griekspoor ATP Brussels · Hard |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 13/10 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/09 | Patrick Brady Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 13/09 | Adhithya Ganesan Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/09 | Matej Dodig Challenger Como · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 02/09 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/08 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 26/08 | Daniel Masur Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 24/08 | Mili Poljicak Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ryuki Matsuda vs Max Schoenhaus?
Our model gives 61% to Max Schoenhaus, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.