Tennis · Challenger Matsuyama · 10/11, 02:00
Prediction: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Ognjen Milic
Team pages: Hikaru Shiraishi · Ognjen Milic
Prediction summary
Winner
Hikaru Shiraishi
Ognjen Milic
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Hikaru Shiraishi
8-2 (W-L)
Ognjen Milic
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hikaru Shiraishi 1622 · Ognjen Milic 1446
| Hikaru Shiraishi | Ognjen Milic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 73% | 27% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hikaru Shiraishi (rating 1622 vs 1446).
- Hikaru Shiraishi is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Ognjen Milic makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Hikaru Shiraishi | Ognjen Milic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-8.3 | 12.2-13.3 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 4 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 65.6% | 62.8% |
| Break % | 58.1% | 62.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hikaru Shiraishi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Kousuke Ogura Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 08/11 | Riku Takahata Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/11 | Taiyo Yamanaka M15 Yanagawa City |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/10 | Yuto Oki M15 Yanagawa City |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/10 | Jumpei Yamasaki M15 Yanagawa City |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 29/10 | Yu Tanaka M15 Yanagawa City |
1-0 | 6-0 | W |
| 28/10 | Sho Katayama M15 Yanagawa City |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/10 | Hugo Hashimoto M15 Tanagura |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Sora Fukuda M15 Tanagura |
2-0 | 9-6 | W |
| 06/10 | Ryan Seggerman Challenger Wuning · Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
Ognjen Milic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Kaichi Uchida Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/10 | Jay Friend Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 20/09 | Pijus Vaitiekunas Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/09 | Alex Barrena Challenger Tulln · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 02/09 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 31/08 | George Lazarov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 18/08 | Lucio Ratti Challenger Sion · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 13/08 | Vuk Radjenovic M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 11/08 | Ruslan Tiukaev M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 06/08 | Gabriele Piraino Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hikaru Shiraishi vs Ognjen Milic?
Our model gives 56% to Hikaru Shiraishi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.