Tennis · W75 Brisbane · 10/11, 02:00
Prediction: Xinxin Yao vs Renee Alame
Team pages: Xinxin Yao · Renee Alame
Prediction summary
Winner
Xinxin Yao
Renee Alame
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Xinxin Yao
5-5 (W-L)
Renee Alame
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Xinxin Yao 1528 · Renee Alame 1497
| Xinxin Yao | Renee Alame | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Xinxin Yao | Renee Alame | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (2) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-11 | 9-9.5 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 58.9% | 54% |
| Break % | 52.9% | 49.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Xinxin Yao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Katie Swan W100 Incheon |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 05/11 | Xiaodi You W100 Incheon |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 03/11 | Hanna Chang W100 Incheon |
2-1 | 15-6 | W |
| 25/10 | Daria Khomutsianskaya W35 Qian Daohu |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 24/10 | Rada Zolotareva W35 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/10 | Yidi Yang W35 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/10 | Yujia Huang W35 Qian Daohu |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 21/10 | Sijia Wei W35 Qian Daohu |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 05/10 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Suzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Maddison Inglis WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Renee Alame
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Hikaru Sato W35 Sydney |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/10 | Yuhan Liu W35 Sydney |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 27/10 | Nanari Katsumi W35 Sydney |
2-1 | 12-9 | W |
| 20/10 | Tahlia Kokkinis W35 Sydney |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Chia Yi Tsao W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Ava-Monet Sycamore W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/07 | Fang An Lin W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Shiho Shibata W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/02 | Miho Kuramochi W75 Brisbane |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/02 | Elyse Tse W75 Brisbane |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Xinxin Yao vs Renee Alame?
Our model gives 74% to Xinxin Yao, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.