Tennis · W75 Brisbane · 10/11, 02:00
Prediction: Yuki Naito vs Mei Yamaguchi
Team pages: Yuki Naito · Mei Yamaguchi
Prediction summary
Winner
Yuki Naito
Mei Yamaguchi
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Yuki Naito
6-4 (W-L)
Mei Yamaguchi
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yuki Naito 1529 · Mei Yamaguchi 1444
| Yuki Naito | Mei Yamaguchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yuki Naito (rating 1529 vs 1444).
- Yuki Naito is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Yuki Naito | Mei Yamaguchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.8 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-9.9 | 8.6-11.1 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 63.2% | 55% |
| Break % | 56.1% | 62.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yuki Naito
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Sara Saito W100 Incheon |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 31/10 | Caroline Dolehide W100 New Braunfels |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 29/10 | Madison Brengle W100 New Braunfels |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/10 | Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon W100 New Braunfels |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/10 | Reese Brantmeier W75 Saguenay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 24/10 | Ariana Arseneault W75 Saguenay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/10 | Ayana Akli W75 Saguenay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/10 | Clemence Mercier W75 Saguenay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/10 | Annabelle Xu W75 Saguenay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/10 | Mimi Xu W50 Quebec City |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Mei Yamaguchi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Zhibek Kulambayeva WTA Chennai · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/11 | Zhibek Kulambayeva WTA Chennai · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 31/10 | Zeel Desai WTA Chennai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 25/10 | Harriet Dart WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/10 | Linda Fruhvirtova WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 17/10 | Sofia Kenin WTA Osaka · Hard |
1-2 | 7-14 | L |
| 28/09 | Wushuang Zheng WTA Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Alycia Parks WTA Singapore · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Kyoka Okamura WTA Singapore · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Ulrikke Eikeri WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yuki Naito vs Mei Yamaguchi?
Our model gives 62% to Yuki Naito, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.

