Tennis · W75 Brisbane · 10/11, 02:00

Prediction: Yuki Naito vs Mei Yamaguchi

Team pages: Yuki Naito · Mei Yamaguchi

Prediction summary
Winner
62% 38%
Yuki Naito Mei Yamaguchi
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Yuki Naito 6-4 (W-L)
LWWWWLWWLL
Mei Yamaguchi 4-6 (W-L)
WLLLWLLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yuki Naito 1529 · Mei Yamaguchi 1444
Yuki NaitoMei Yamaguchi
Our model62%38%
Market63%38%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yuki Naito (rating 1529 vs 1444).
  • Yuki Naito is in better form: 60% recent wins.

Statistics

Yuki NaitoMei Yamaguchi
Win %60%30%
Win % · Hard – 30% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.3-0.80.8-1.5
Games (G-P)11.5-9.98.6-11.1
Aces2.71.4
Double faults2.51.7
1st serve %63.2%55%
Break %56.1%62.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yuki Naito

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/11 Sara Saito
W100 Incheon
0-2 6-13 L
31/10 Caroline Dolehide
W100 New Braunfels
1-2 14-18 L
29/10 Madison Brengle
W100 New Braunfels
2-0 12-3 W
28/10 Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
W100 New Braunfels
2-0 13-8 W
25/10 Reese Brantmeier
W75 Saguenay
0-2 12-14 L
24/10 Ariana Arseneault
W75 Saguenay
2-0 12-8 W
23/10 Ayana Akli
W75 Saguenay
2-0 13-8 W
22/10 Clemence Mercier
W75 Saguenay
2-0 12-8 W
20/10 Annabelle Xu
W75 Saguenay
2-0 12-6 W
16/10 Mimi Xu
W50 Quebec City
0-2 9-13 L

Mei Yamaguchi

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/11 Zhibek Kulambayeva
WTA Chennai · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
01/11 Zhibek Kulambayeva
WTA Chennai · Hard
1-2 15-16 L
31/10 Zeel Desai
WTA Chennai · Hard
2-0 12-1 W
25/10 Harriet Dart
WTA Guangzhou · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
24/10 Linda Fruhvirtova
WTA Guangzhou · Hard
2-1 15-14 W
17/10 Sofia Kenin
WTA Osaka · Hard
1-2 7-14 L
28/09 Wushuang Zheng
WTA Jingshan · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
22/09 Alycia Parks
WTA Singapore · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
20/09 Kyoka Okamura
WTA Singapore · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
19/09 Ulrikke Eikeri
WTA Singapore · Hard
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yuki Naito vs Mei Yamaguchi?

Our model gives 62% to Yuki Naito, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.