Prediction: Maria Lourdes Carle vs Valentina Mediorreal Arias
Team pages: Maria Lourdes Carle · Valentina Mediorreal Arias
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Lourdes Carle
Valentina Mediorreal Arias
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Lourdes Carle
3-7 (W-L)
Valentina Mediorreal Arias
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Lourdes Carle 1452 · Valentina Mediorreal Arias 1448
| Maria Lourdes Carle | Valentina Mediorreal Arias | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 94% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Maria Lourdes Carle makes many double faults (6.2/match).
Statistics
| Maria Lourdes Carle | Valentina Mediorreal Arias | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 29% (7) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 0.7-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-11.7 | 7.1-11.1 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 6.2 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 56.9% | 47.5% |
| Break % | 61.1% | 37.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Lourdes Carle
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Despina Papamichail WTA Cali · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 29/10 | Julia Grabher WTA Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 27/10 | Laura Pigossi WTA Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Kristina Liutova W100 Edmond |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W50 Lexington |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Valeriya Strakhova W50 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/09 | Nuria Brancaccio WTA Tolentino · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 15/09 | Ekaterine Gorgodze WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 11/09 | Rositsa Dencheva WTA Antalya · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Eva Vedder WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Valentina Mediorreal Arias
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Julia Riera WTA Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Ana Sofia Sanchez W15 Campina Grande |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Julia Konishi Camargo Silva W15 Campina Grande |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 20/10 | Gabriela G Soares W15 Campina Grande |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/10 | Maria Florencia Urrutia W15 Maceio |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Anna Blinkova WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Ana Sofia Sanchez W15 Porto Velho |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Gabriela Kawano Cho W15 Porto Velho |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Romina Ccuno W35 Barueri |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 04/08 | Lourdes Ayala W35 Chacabuco |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Lourdes Carle vs Valentina Mediorreal Arias?
Our model gives 75% to Maria Lourdes Carle, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.